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Independent Assessment of AI R&D Acceleration at Anthropic in October 2026

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Summary

METR staff performed a high-access evaluation at Anthropic from August 12 to October 29, 2026, to assess whether AI is accelerating AI R&D. The report estimates that, as of October 2026, Anthropic's models are improving on well-specified tasks at about twice the rate seen between March 2024 and October 2025, with high uncertainty. Anthropic redacted most of the evidence the authors found most informative, which limits the public's ability to check the conclusions.